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Pictet Asset Management

US dollar dominance – long-term erosion?

30. May 2025

BRICs+ rise and shifting investor sentiment signal long-term decline in US dollar dominance.

US dollar dominance - long-term erosion

Economists anticipate a growing shift in global power dynamics as the expanded BRICs+ bloc increasingly challenges the influence of the US and Europe. This shift is accompanied by a gradual decline in the US dollar’s dominance as the world’s primary reserve currency. While the dollar still plays a central role—accounting for over half of global reserves, around 50% of international payments, and roughly 80% of foreign exchange transactions—its relative position has been eroding. Pictet Asset Management expects the USD to depreciate materially over the next five years.

“Economic nationalism and isolation are growth-killers in the long run and are certain to reduce the appeal of the dollar among international investors,” says Luca Paolini, Pictet’s Chief Strategist.

Read the full assessment here.