There has been no shortage of economic challenges in 2022, with rising inflation and interest rates, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Covid-19 woes in China and a global economic slowdown. Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, Manulife Investment Management believes high-yield emerging market credit provides a compelling opportunity.
The investment management firm sees high yield EM corporate debt priced for a calamity, as the J.P. Morgan Corporate Emerging Markets Bond Index (CEMBI) Broad Diversified High Yield Index is now 10.3%, among the best yield level in the past decade.
“There’s no guarantee that valuations have hit rock bottom, but today’s yield levels have historically offered compelling return potential, not to mention strong carry while investors wait on the eventual economic recovery,” said Paolo H. Valle, Senior Portfolio Manager for Emerging Markets Debt, Manulife IM.
Additionally, the asset manager believes the fundamentals of EMs are still quite strong despite the macro headwinds. EM corporates have lower leverage, high profitability, and resilient fundamentals with double-digit revenue growth. Manulife says EM credit looks attractive due to reason along with a relative value proposition for global investors.
Meanwhile, emerging market credit defaults are likely to be limited to certain segments, and the anticipated defaults are linked to either the embattled China property market or emerging Europe which is affected by the war in Ukraine.
“Despite these challenges, we see a number of encouraging signs, especially in EM high-yield corporates, that we believe make the segment worthy of considerations for investors with long enough time horizons to weather the current storm,” adds Valle.
View the full insight here.
Read more
US Election
Trump 2.0 – What investors need to know now
Trump’s return to the presidency signals a mix of opportunities for US equities but raises global economic uncertainties.
Bellevue Asset Management
Demographics and AI drive MedTech stocks
MedTech investment case: What makes it attractive, which trends stand out?
Asia Equity
Why invest in Asia equity long/short now?
Investing in Asia has undergone significant changes in recent years. It might be the time for a different approach.
KKR
Multi-asset credit – the ‘all-weather’ strategy
Allocation to a multi-asset-credit strategy could optimise and manage risk dynamically.