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NS Partners

Equity markets face risks as money growth remains weak

20. February 2025

Weak money growth signals downside risks for equities, despite recent market resilience and expectations of monetary easing.

A monetarist perspective suggests equity markets may struggle in the coming months due to persistently weak money growth. An analysis by NS Partners, an affiliate of Connor, Clark & Lunn Financial Group Ltd., one of the largest private, independently held asset management firms in Canada, found: “Global six-month real narrow money momentum recovered from a low in September 2023 into Q2 2024 but has since moved sideways at a weak level by historical standards. Based on a normal six to 12-month lead, this suggests below-trend economic growth through Q2 2025, at least.”

If money growth does not improve, the economic backdrop could remain challenging, weighing on corporate earnings and valuations.

Read the full insight here.